The second greatest stablecoin by market cap, USDC, is anticipated to overtake USDT, in accordance to analysts at Arcane Research.

The Glassnode chart beneath exhibits comparatively parallel progress for each tokens from September 2020 onwards. This interval was the run-up to the beginning of the final bull market, as Bitcoin re-reached the earlier cycle peak of $20,000 in December 2020.

Although USDT’s market cap progress outpaced USDC at sure intervals, notably between March 2021 and June 2021, USDT noticed a pointy decline from May 2022 onwards. In distinction, USDC’s macro uptrend stays intact.

Considering USDC’s present progress charge of 70% and USDT’s trajectory of decline, Arcane Research analysts anticipate the “flippening” to happen as quickly as October.

USDT on track for a flippening

Current market caps for USDT and USDC are $65.9 billion and $54.8 billion, respectively, inserting each tokens third and fourth within the CryptoSlate rankings.

USDT in decline

Since the Terra implosion in early May, USDT has suffered extreme capital outflows as buyers cashed out to security through the market turmoil.

Tether’s market cap peaked at $83.2 billion on May 8, leading to two distinct drop-offs between May 11 and May 28, in addition to between June 12 and June 22. Crypto lending platform Celsius introduced a pause on withdrawals at across the time of the second drop-off.

USDT YTD market cap chart

USDC presents transparency

Despite converging market caps, USDT buying and selling quantity nonetheless far exceeds that of USDC. In the final 24 hours, USDT had a buying and selling quantity of $67.6 billion, making it essentially the most traded token — throughout peaks, the buying and selling quantity is greater than doubles that of second-placed Bitcoin.

On the opposite hand, USDC’s buying and selling quantity over the past 24 hours got here in at $8.8 billion, or 13% of USDT.

Nonetheless, USDC is commonly thought of a “safer” stablecoin providing due to extra vital efforts to adjust to audits, rules, and better transparency requirements, particularly relating to particulars of its reserves.

Recent criticisms of USDC prompted Jeremy Allaire, the CEO of issuing firm Circle, to enhance transparency by issuing common month-to-month reserve reviews ranging from July 14.

The most recent report confirmed reserve property totaling $55,703,500,691, composed of 24% money held at “regulated financial institutions” and 76% U.S.Treasury Securities. On June 30, the overall reserve property exceeded the circulating provide by just below $134 million.

In response to claims that USDC is struggling amid difficult market circumstances, Allaire mentioned the corporate is in its strongest monetary place.

USDT vs. USDC De Pegging 

During the Luna/UST implosion in May, USDC and USDT de pegged from the greenback. USDT went down so far as $0.97 and took virtually two months to get better its peg to $1, whereas USDC reclaimed its peg virtually instantly — cementing itself because the “more stable” stablecoin for the business.

Stablecoin Price
Stablecoin Prices (through Glassnode)

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